Number of the Day | 5 | 16 September 2026

The yield on the benchmark US 10-year Treasury has reached 5%, putting one of the world’s most closely watched interest rates back at levels rarely seen in the past two decades. Gareth Edwards and Francis Herd unpack what bond yields actually measure, why investors are demanding higher returns from the US government and how inflation, interest-rate expectations and growing debt are shaping the market.

The story does not stop in America. Higher US rates can make American assets more attractive, affecting where global money flows and potentially putting pressure on currencies such as the rand. The question for South Africa is whether that pressure could complicate the Reserve Bank’s own interest-rate choices, even as the domestic inflation outlook improves.

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Chapter List

(00:00) Why 5% Has The Bond Market Worried
(01:00) What Does Buying A Government Bond Actually Mean?
(03:14) Is The US Losing Its Safe-Haven Status?
(06:33) Why South Africa Could Feel The Pressure